Aave (AAVE) Price Moves Toward $160 Decision Pivot Level

Aave (AAVE) is currently navigating a defensive market regime, trading at $157.55 with a 1.13% intraday decline as of the London-New York crossover. As a primary DeFi bellwether, AAVE's price action is serving as a volatility filter for the broader decentralized finance sector.

AAVE Market Map and Key Levels

The current session is characterized by range-bound behavior with a clear defensive bias. Market participants are treating the $160.00 level as the primary decision line. Until this level is reclaimed on a sustained retest, the immediate path of least resistance remains skewed toward consolidation or further downside testing.

Crucial Trading Zones:

• Decision Line: $160.00
• Support Zone: $155.69 (Intraday Low)
• Resistance Zone: $159.40 (Intraday High)
• Line-in-the-Sand: $170.00

Strategic Execution Framework

For day traders, the focus remains on fading the extremes of the $155.69–$159.40 range. Your edge in this environment is the retest; chasing the first break often leads to liquidation traps in these low-conviction zones. If the price manages to accept above $160.00, the probability of a trend extension increases significantly.

Scenario Planning

Base Case (62% Probability): Range persistence continues. High-odds trades involve disciplined fades at the $155.69 support and $159.40 resistance levels. Traders should avoid the middle of the range where the risk/reward ratio is structurally poor.

Upside Extension (24% Probability): A clean breakout and retest above $170.00 would shift the macro bias to bullish. In this scenario, pullbacks should be treated as buying opportunities with risk trailed under the $160.00 pivot.

Downside Reversal (14% Probability): A loss of the $150.00 psychological level without a quick reclaim would signal a deeper correction. Capital preservation becomes the priority, and long exposure should be aggressively reduced.

Risk Management and Sizing

In a two-way tape with an intraday range of approximately 2.35%, size should be secondary to process. Use the $160.00 decision line as a simple exposure filter: stay lighter below it and consider longer holding times only once the price stabilizes above. If you are stopped twice at the pivot, the market is signaling a low-edge environment—stand aside and reassess.

Related Reading: Aave (AAVE) Technical Analysis: Strategic Levels for Traders