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AUD/JPY Strategy: Navigating the 109.000 Pivot Regime

Marie LefebvreFeb 3, 2026, 10:05 UTC4 min read
AUD/JPY technical analysis chart showing 109.000 pivot level

A professional execution guide for trading the AUD/JPY cross during the London-New York handover, focusing on the 109.000 pivot and market regime filters.

As the market transitions through the London and New York sessions today, Feb 03, 2026, the AUD/JPY cross is positioning itself around a critical psychological juncture. Traders should view the current technical landscape not as a predictive map, but as a reactive framework defined by pivot discipline and risk management.

The 109.000 Pivot and Market Regime Control

The AUDJPY price live action currently centers on the 109.000 level, which serves as both the regime filter and a primary figure magnet. In the current FX environment, if the cross sits near a major figure, the baseline assumption remains two-way flow; we only upgrade to a trend bias after price acceptance is confirmed by a protected retest. Observing the AUD JPY live chart reveals that staying above this pivot favors buy-on-dip strategies, while a failure to hold 109.000 shifts the tactical preference toward selling rallies.

Technical Levels and Support Ladders

To navigate the intraday volatility, traders should monitor the following structure. The resistance ladder is currently pegged at 109.500, stretching toward 110.000 and 110.500. Conversely, the support ladder begins at 108.500, with deeper liquidity zones at 108.000 and 107.500. Analyzing the AUD JPY chart live suggests that the highest-quality trade locations typically emerge at these boundaries rather than during initial spikes. For real-time execution, checking the AUD JPY realtime feed ensures that entry triggers align with current liquidity shifts.

Macro Drivers and Rate Differentials

Rates are currently doing the signaling for the broader currency complex. When the front end of the yield curve leads, the AUD JPY price tends to exhibit more persistent trends. However, when the back end takes control, moves become choppier. Because the Japanese Yen remains highly sensitive to global rate differentials, any directional impulse from US Treasuries transmits quickly into JPY crosses. Traders utilizing the AUD/JPY price live data will note that commodity-linked FX is simultaneously reacting to shifting risk budgets, often resulting in rallies being sold unless the broader USD complex softens uniformly.

For those monitoring the AUD to JPY live rate, it is essential to watch the London–NY handover checkpoints. At 09:45 London, we look for retest quality after initial price discovery. By 08:30 New York, the focus shifts to whether the market confirms the prevailing move or rotates back toward the 109.000 pivot. The aussie yen pair often requires this confirmation period to filter out noise from genuine institutional flow.

Execution and Risk Discipline

Execution requires a strict if/then matrix. If the AUD JPY price live environment holds above 109.000 and the retest is defended, the target shifts toward the 109.500/110.000 resistance zone. If the figure is lost, we look for a rotation into 108.500. It is vital to consult an AUD JPY live chart to distinguish between a breakout and a mean-reversion setup. If a break fails and price repairs back inside the range, a fade toward the pivot becomes the high-probability play.

Finally, keep in mind that when liquidity is thin or volatility expands, reducing position size is preferable to widening stops. Using the AUD JPY live rate as a guide, traders should define invalidation at a structural level. Avoid the temptation to hold through noise; if the first hour of New York trading does not confirm a breakout, default to a rotational strategy centered on the 109.000 midpoint.

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