What is the key pivot for the MOEX on January 29, 2026?

The primary pivot point for the MOEX index is 2,818.64, with a critical decision band between 2,812.09 and 2,825.20.

What are the bullish targets for the MOEX index today?

If the index achieves acceptance above 2,825.20, the immediate upside targets are 2,831.75 and 2,834.63.

How should traders handle a failed breakout on MOEX?

If the price breaks out of the decision band but re-enters and holds for two 15-minute candles, traders should fade the move back toward the pivot of 2,818.64.

MOEX Index Analysis: Trading the 2,818 Pivot | FXPremiere

Russian equities show constructive momentum as the MOEX index tests the 2,825.20 bull trigger amid a broader surge in global commodities.

The Russian equity market (MOEX) enters the January 29, 2026, session with a firm-to-constructive bias, following a tape read that saw the index climb by 1.51% to finish near session highs. As the cash index points settle at 2,829.98, traders are monitoring a specific decision gate to determine if the current flow-driven rally has the legs to transition into a sustained trend.

Market Context and Global Sentiment

The current backdrop for the MOEX realtime data is heavily influenced by a massive spike in commodity prices. With Gold surging over 3.6% and WTI crude testing significant resistance, the resource-heavy index has found natural support. While the DXY remains relatively flat at 96.23, the MOEX live rate is currently outperforming many emerging market peers. It is vital to note that despite this strength, headline risk remains elevated; traders should treat the MOEX chart live structure as the primary guide while remaining nimble enough to adjust for geopolitical shifts.

The MOEX Pivot Map and Decision Band

The technical landscape for the MOEX price live is centered around a focal pivot (range mid) of 2,818.64. We define the high-probability trade zone as the decision band between 2,812.09 and 2,825.20. This 26-point range represents the critical area where institutional order flow will likely determine the next directional leg. For those monitoring the MOEX live chart, this band serves as the "no-man's land" where trading should be avoided unless momentum is exceptionally clean.

Bullish Acceptance Criteria

Strength above the 2,825.20 level signals a shift from range-bound behavior to a bullish regime. Under this scenario, the MOEX chart targets an initial scope of 2,831.75, with secondary objectives sitting at 2,834.63. Success here depends on the index holding above the band for at least two consecutive 15-minute closes.

Bearish Rejection Scenarios

Conversely, if the MOEX ticker face-plants back through the pivot, bearish acceptance below 2,812.09 opens the door for a retest of the day's lows at 2,805.53. A deeper slide could see the index gravitate toward the 2,802.65 level. As seen in our recent analysis of other major benchmarks, such as the Italy 40 (IT40) Strategy, failing to hold a pivot often leads to a rapid re-pricing toward the previous session's value area.

Execution Strategy and Risk Controls

The execution playbook today emphasizes an "edge-first" approach. Traders should look to scale into positions near the limits of the decision band and scale out as price approaches the central 2,818.64 pivot. If a MOEX live breakout occurs but the index re-enters the band and holds for 30 minutes, the "failed-break rule" applies, suggesting a fade back to the range midpoint.

As we have observed in the Russia Inflation Pulse, local economic data continues to play a secondary role to capital flows in the equity market. Be cautious of yield movements in the US 10Y; if rates stay bid, expect risk to become more two-way, which generally favors mean-reversion tactics over chasing breakouts.