Geopolitics

Explore how policy-driven reshoring and stockpiling are reshaping real economy costs, market dynamics, and risk across manufacturing, commodities, and credit markets.

The market is currently underpricing significant risks related to critical minerals, energy infrastructure, and AI funding. These overlooked factors could trigger unexpected market volatility and...

Despite recent spot stabilization, market volatility remains firm, driven by sticky hedging demand and rising event risk. This post analyzes equity, rates, and FX volatility, highlighting the...

Commodity markets are currently trading as 'policy assets,' with geopolitical factors like OPEC+ decisions and Ukraine's grid risks profoundly influencing energy and metals prices, creating a...

The oil market is currently a battleground of disciplined supply management by OPEC+ and escalating winter grid stress from geopolitical events. With inventories tight, every minor shock can...

Recent events in Ukraine have starkly highlighted how energy infrastructure has become a direct battleground, rapidly reshaping cross-asset correlations and impacting global markets.

New policies pushing for reshoring and strategic stockpiling are redefining supply chain costs and market dynamics. This shift, driven by geopolitical concerns and a pursuit of resilience over...

The market is exhibiting unusual calm amidst lurking risks related to critical mineral supply chains, energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, and the escalating funding needs of the AI sector. This...

Despite a seemingly stable policy outlook, market volatility, particularly in equity and FX, suggests that significant event risk remains, driven by both macro catalysts and geopolitical tensions....

Commodity markets are increasingly trading as policy assets, with geopolitical events and strategic reserves dictating price floors and driving inflation. This shift underpins energy prices,...

Dive into the oil market dynamics where OPEC+ supply discipline meets the realities of winter grid stress and geopolitical-induced energy infrastructure risks. We explore the nuanced balance...

Recent geopolitical events targeting energy infrastructure are reshaping cross-asset correlations, impacting everything from energy prices and defense equities to safe-haven currencies and bond...

This analysis delves into the delicate balance of the crude oil market, where OPEC+ supply discipline and geopolitical tensions collide with winter grid stress, keeping oil sensitivities elevated.

Geopolitical events, particularly those targeting energy infrastructure, are rapidly reshaping cross-asset correlations, driving market premiums, and influencing policy decisions from critical...

Geopolitical shifts are driving companies to prioritize supply chain resilience through reshoring and stockpiling, fundamentally altering cost structures and market dynamics, even as rates remain...

Despite apparent market calm, hedging demand remains sticky as implied volatility reveals underlying concerns, particularly around AI funding, geopolitical risks, and central bank policies.

Commodity markets are increasingly trading as extensions of policy decisions and geopolitical realities, with energy, metals, and agriculture each reacting to distinct but interconnected drivers....

Global energy markets are navigating a complex landscape where OPEC+ supply discipline converges with heightened geopolitical tensions and winter grid stress. This dynamic interplay keeps crude...

Geopolitical events are increasingly impacting global energy markets, reshaping cross-asset correlations and driving premiums in power and gas prices. This analysis explores how energy...

The global rates market is exhibiting a split personality, with European disinflation contrasting with Australian hawkishness and persistent energy risks. This deeply impacts front-end re-pricing...