Hedera (HBAR) Strategy: Navigating the $0.1100 Decision Pivot

Hedera (HBAR) is currently exhibiting a defensive bias as price action stabilizes around the $0.108944 mark. With a daily range of approximately 2.93%, market participation remains selective, favoring disciplined traders who prioritize retest entries over aggressive breakout chasing.

HBAR Market Context: Enterprise Beta Profile

HBAR continues to behave as an 'enterprise beta' asset, where liquidity and participation often lag broader market moves. This characteristic shifts the trading edge toward waiting for confirmed retests. Entering late into a move or chasing price away from key levels remains a costly habit; the objective in this environment is to let the price come to your defined levels.

Key Technical Levels for Jan 23

To navigate the current session, traders should focus on the following tradable zones:

• Decision Line: $0.110000
• Resistance Zone: $0.110241
• Support Zone: $0.107052
• Line-in-the-Sand: $0.100000

If the next session opens with a gap, the tactical play is to wait for the first retest to hold before committing size. Trading the middle of the range offers poor structural risk/reward.

Intraday and Swing Strategy

Day Traders: Target the range between $0.107052 and $0.110241. Buy the support floor if defended and look to fade rallies near the resistance ceiling. Breakthroughs should only be traded after a successful retest above $0.110241.

Short-term (1-5 Days): Look for acceptance beyond the $0.110000 pivot. If breakouts fail to hold quickly, the priority is to reduce risk rather than averaging down into a losing position.

For context on how HBAR compares to previous sessions, you may review the HBAR Strategy for January 22.

Potential Market Scenarios

Base Case (60% Probability)

Range persistence remains the dominant theme. Disciplined fades at the extremes ($0.1070 and $0.1102) remain the higher-odds approach while volatility stays compressed.

Upside Extension (20% Probability)

A shift in bias occurs if price finds acceptance above $0.120000 following a successful retest. In this scenario, pullbacks become buyable opportunities with trailing stops under the decision line.

Downside Reversal (20% Probability)

Losing the $0.100000 line-in-the-sand level would shift the outlook to bearish. Failure to reclaim this level would necessitate a pivot toward capital preservation and exposure reduction.

Related Reading

• Hedera (HBAR) Strategy: Key Pivot Levels and Trading Plan for Jan 22