Trade Policy

The US recorded a narrower budget deficit of $95 billion in January, driven by higher receipts including a notable surge in tariff revenues. However, persistent interest costs continue to fuel the...

Global trade policy is undergoing a significant transformation, moving beyond simple tariffs to establish demand guarantees for critical minerals and strategic inputs. This shift, driven by...

Analyze why policy uncertainty has become a dominant macro variable in 2026, driving volatility across FX, rates, and global equity markets.

Analyzing the strategic shift from single-source supply chains to aligned redundancy through the 2026 EU–India trade implementation.

Analyze how rising freight costs and logistics volatility are becoming a stealth driver for global inflation and market conditions in 2026.

Efficiency-first trade is dead. Explore how the shift toward resilience and strategic alignment is repricing baseline risk premiums and macro variables.

Geopolitical shifts are reshaping trade and investment, creating high-volatility tail risks despite a stable median global growth outlook for 2026.

Analysis of how anticipation of trade policy shocks impacts global markets, capex, and inflation before actual data hits the tape.

Steel markets face a complex tug-of-war as weak domestic demand in China meets rising export frictions and regulatory policy shifts.

The IMF forecasts a 3.3% global growth rate for 2026 as AI-driven productivity gains face off against rising geopolitical trade fragmentation.

China's automotive sector faces a significant growth downshift in 2026, with vehicle exports and EV sales projected to cool sharply amid shifting trade dynamics.

Steel markets face heightened volatility as policy uncertainty clashes with thin mill margins and shifting lead times.

Global growth forecasts for 2026 show a stable but uneven landscape as trade headwinds and inflation persistence drive policy divergence across major economies.

Market sentiment improves as trade tail risks recede, shifting the growth-inflation balance and redefining policy timing expectations.

Discover why trade policy headlines are now functioning as real-time economic indicators, driving market volatility and tightening financial conditions through risk premia.

Global markets face a complex regime where resilient labor data clashes with elevated policy uncertainty, increasing the demand for liquidity and defensive positioning.

Steel markets face heightened volatility as trade policy uncertainty meets micro-confirmation requirements like lead times and mill margins.

Europe is shifting focus toward internal structural reforms to offset global trade volatility and stimulate medium-term productivity growth in 2026.

Global growth in 2026 relies on a delicate balance: artificial intelligence investment provides a cyclical cushion while escalating trade friction widens downside risks.

Discover why trade policy uncertainty tightens financial conditions and impacts market volatility well before actual tariffs are implemented.